Start with high-confidence bayesian analysis books, then narrow by subgenre or adjacent topics.
Mathematical Modeling in Systems Biology
Brian P. Ingalls
The Improbability Principle
David J Hand
The Theory of Stochastic Processes
D.R. Cox, H.D. Miller
The Model Thinker
Scott E. Page, Jamie Renell
A Primer in Probability
Kathleen Subrahmaniam
Probability and Statistical Models With Applications
CH. A. Charalambides, M.V. Koutras
Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way
Will Kurt
