Start with high-confidence bayesian analysis books, then narrow by subgenre or adjacent topics.
Mathematical Modeling in Systems Biology
Brian P. Ingalls
The Theory of Stochastic Processes
D.R. Cox, H.D. Miller
The Model Thinker
Scott E. Page, Jamie Renell
A Primer in Probability
Kathleen Subrahmaniam
Probability and Statistical Models With Applications
CH. A. Charalambides, M.V. Koutras
Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way
Will Kurt