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Geopolitical Alpha by Marko Papic

Book

Geopolitical Alpha

An Investment Framework for Predicting the Future

Marko Papic

Wiley · Print & ebook · December 22, 2025

Reading lane: Portfolio Management

Forecast geopolitics and markets with this clear and insightful resource Geopolitical Alpha – An Investment Framework for Predicting the Future provides readers with an original and compelling approach to forecasting the future and beating the markets while doing so.

At a Glance

Why This Clicks

Constraints Over Noise

A practical lens on geopolitics and markets, built around what policymakers can actually do.

Come here for

  • A way to weigh political constraints against public narratives
  • Connections between geopolitics, economics, and investment decisions

Expect

  • Past-decade examples illustrating the framework
  • A focus on material limits, not political speculation

Book Details

Authors
Marko Papic
Publisher
Wiley
Published
December 22, 2025
Format
Print & ebook
Theme
Portfolio Management · International Economics
Reading lane
Portfolio Management

Affinity

Publisher Categories

  • Decision-Making & Problem Solving

  • International Business

  • Portfolio Management

About This Book

Forecast geopolitics and markets with this clear and insightful resource Geopolitical Alpha – An Investment Framework for Predicting the Future provides readers with an original and compelling approach to forecasting the future and beating the markets while doing so. Persuasively written by author, investment strategist, and geopolitical analyst Marko Papic, the book applies a novel framework for making sense of the cacophony of geopolitical risks with the eye towards genera...

Read full description

Forecast geopolitics and markets with this clear and insightful resource Geopolitical Alpha – An Investment Framework for Predicting the Future provides readers with an original and compelling approach to forecasting the future and beating the markets while doing so. Persuasively written by author, investment strategist, and geopolitical analyst Marko Papic, the book applies a novel framework for making sense of the cacophony of geopolitical risks with the eye towards generating investment-relevant insights. Geopolitical Alpha posits that investors should ignore the media-hyped narratives, insights from "smoke-filled rooms," and most of their political consultants and, instead, focus exclusively on the measurable, material constraints facing policymakers. In the tug-of-war between policymaker preferences and their constraints, the latter always win out in the end. Papic uses a wealth of examples from the past decade to illustrate how one can use his constraint-framework to generate Geopolitical Alpha . In the process, the book discusses: - What paradigm shifts will drive investment returns over the next decade - Why investment and corporate professionals can no longer treat geopolitics as an exogenous risk - How to ignore the media and focus on what drives market narratives that generate returns Perfect for investors, C-suite executives, and investment professionals, Geopolitical Alpha belongs on the shelf of anyone interested in the intersection of geopolitics, economics, and finance.

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